Week Four NFL Picks

We have improved each of the first three weeks and the streak needs to continue. Find out who JagNation likes against the spread in each of the 16 NFL games this week.

Saints -7.5 @ Jaguars

The Saints average more points per game than the Jaguars have scored cumulatively this season. New Orleans isn't as good on the road, Jacksonville isn't as bad at home so the Jags will keep this from being a blowout. Saints 27, Jaguars 16.

Lions +1 @ Cowboys

Seemingly everyone in America has jumped on the Lions bandwagon and it's understandable. Still, Detroit has yet to prove they can beat a quality opponent on the road. Cowboys 27, Lions 24.

49ers +9.5 @ Eagles

The "Dream Team" can't seem to protect their quarterback and the 49ers are a solid defensive team. It's a lot to ask of San Francisco to win against a pretty desperate Eagles ball club, but they do keep it close. Eagles 24, 49ers 17.

Redskins -3 @ Rams

The Rams are the best 0-3 team in football, for whatever that's worth (not much). Washington isn't as good as their record, St. Louis isn't as bad as theirs and we get the home team and the better quarterback and three points. Rams 20, Redskins 17.

Titans -1 @ Browns

The Browns have rode a soft opening to their schedule and some clutch late-game quarterback play to a 2-1 start. Matt Hasselbeck has improved each week and Tennessee has a better football team, even without Kenny Britt. Titans 24, Browns 20.

Bills -3 @ Bengals

The Bills shocked the NFL world by beating New England last week, so a little trip to Cincinnati with their rookie quarterback should be easy, right? Wrong, this is a classic letdown game. Bengals 23, Bills 21.

Vikings -3 @ Chiefs

Kansas City fought for 60 minutes in a tough loss last week at San Diego, and Minnesota has played great football for 30 minutes in each of their first three games. 60 tough minutes beats 30 good minutes. Chiefs 17, Vikings 16.

Panthers +7 @ Bears

We have a rookie quarterback on the road against a talented, angry defense. This is a must win game for the Bears, and they will win it big. Bears 34, Panthers 13.

Steelers +4 @ Texans

This one seems too easy, right? The defending AFC Champs on the road getting more than a field goal against a Texans team who is waiting for their first signature win in their 10-year franchise history. They'll still be waiting after Sunday. Steelers 31, Texans 27.

Falcons -5.5 @ Seahawks

It's desperation time for Atlanta as they can't afford to fall too far back in the NFC South. On top of that Seattle has trouble scoring against anyone. Falcons 24, Seahawks 9.

Giants -1.5 @ Cardinals

I can't for the life of me figure out why this isn't a bigger spread. Call it a trap and I'll fall right in with the much better football team. Giants 24, Cards 13.

Dolphins +7 @ Chargers

The Chargers haven't played very well in their first three games and the Dolphins haven't played well in about three years. Still, San Diego is pretty banged up and Miami can play them tough. Chargers 24, Dolphins 19.

Broncos +13 @ Packers

Denver has played some tough football this year and if they caught a few extra breaks they really could be 3-0. Green Bay hasn't even played their best football and they're 3-0, somewhat convincingly. Too many weapons for the Pack. Packers 45, Broncos 17.

Patriots -6 @ Raiders

The New England defense hasn't looked very good and the Raiders offensive line has been mauling everyone they've played. Still, Tom Brady > Jason Campbell. Bill Belichick > Hue Jackson. No revenge this Sunday Oakland. Patriots 34, Raiders 21.

Jets +4 @ Ravens

Rex Ryan tells us that the Jets are a physical football team. Watching them play tells an entirely different story as they rank 31st in run defense. This is a big game for the Ravens and they will show up at home. Ravens 27, Jets 17.

Colts +10.5 @ Buccaneers

So Indianapolis will likely start Curtis Painter (insert hair joke/stoner reference here). Painter isn't Peyton Manning, but he has a grasp on the system and he will respond in a tough spot. Bucs 20, Colts 13.

Last week: 8-7-1

Season: 21-24-3

Charlie Bernstein is the NFL Insider for ESPN 1080 and 1040 in Orlando/Tampa and the host of "The Sports Crunch" on the Aquarius 7 Broadcasting Network (national), and Editor-in-Chief of Sports Media Interactive, covering multiple teams in the National Football League, NCAA, and National Basketball Association. Charlie covers the Jacksonville Jaguars for FoxSports and has been featured on the NFL Network and Sirius NFL Radio. Charlie is also a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. You can follow Charlie on Twitter @nflcharlie

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